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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂ³n
SC

Racing
2 - 1
Cristal

Jose Caceres (13'), Chancalay (83')
Arias (29'), Jose Caceres (31'), Alejo Lopez (39'), Chancalay (90')
Orban (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzales (52')
Merlo (9'), Gonzales (22'), Avila (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawSporting Cristal
56.51%24.23%19.26%
Both teams to score 46.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46%53.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94%75.05%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18%18.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76%50.24%
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77%42.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37%78.63%
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 56.51%
    Sporting Cristal 19.26%
    Draw 24.22%
Racing ClubDrawSporting Cristal
1-0 @ 13.27%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 56.51%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.85%
1-2 @ 4.93%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.26%

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