Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
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