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DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
W

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
43.14%24.73%32.13%
Both teams to score 57.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64%45.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31%67.69%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91%21.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1%53.9%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69%62.31%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 43.14%
    Wolfsburg 32.13%
    Draw 24.72%
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 11.59%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.13%

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