SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Cambridge United |
61.11% ( -0.83) | 21.04% ( 0.57) | 17.85% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( -2.2) | 42.38% ( 2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( -2.23) | 64.79% ( 2.23) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.93) | 13.39% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( -1.9) | 40.31% ( 1.9) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( -1.03) | 37.29% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.92% ( -1.03) | 74.07% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.62)2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.17% Total : 61.1% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.85% |
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