Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
