Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
