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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
AB

Real Valladolid
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.9%29.51%41.58%
Both teams to score 42.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.45%64.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.42%83.57%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67%39.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97%76.03%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08%66.91%
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 28.89%
    Athletic Bilbao 41.58%
    Draw 29.5%
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 6.21%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.63%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 28.89%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 12.05%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 14.25%
0-2 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-3 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 0.98%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 41.58%


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