Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
