Rennes have turned on the style in the Europa League this term despite their struggles in domestic football, and the hosts need to repeat that trick once more to secure top spot in Group F.
Villarreal were dismantled by Real Sociedad on the weekend during a disastrous end to the first half, and a similar collapse at Roazhon Park will lead to playoff football for the Yellow Submarine in February.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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