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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 20, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Arsenal

Mendez (74' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Miloc (20'), Navas (23'), Mendez (84')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.83%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 9.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawArsenal Sarandi
74.83%15.85%9.32%
Both teams to score 47.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33%38.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.02%60.98%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.22%8.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.86%30.14%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.05%47.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.8%83.2%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 74.83%
    Arsenal Sarandi 9.32%
    Draw 15.85%
River PlateDrawArsenal Sarandi
2-0 @ 12.46%
1-0 @ 10.24%
3-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 7.43%
4-0 @ 6.15%
4-1 @ 4.52%
5-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.66%
6-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 74.83%
1-1 @ 7.53%
0-0 @ 4.21%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 15.85%
0-1 @ 3.09%
1-2 @ 2.77%
0-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 9.32%

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