Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
