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League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
ST

Rochdale
2 - 1
Swindon

Keohane (12'), Grant (64')
Osho (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garrick (88')
Coverage of the League One clash between Rochdale and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawSwindon Town
35.67%27.85%36.48%
Both teams to score 48.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31%57.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56%78.45%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21%30.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94%67.06%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72%30.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54%66.46%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 35.67%
    Swindon Town 36.47%
    Draw 27.85%
RochdaleDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 7.73%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.33%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.47%

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