Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
