SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
63.59% ( 0.02) | 19.34% ( -0.01) | 17.08% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.23% ( 0.07) | 35.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.16% ( 0.08) | 57.84% ( -0.08) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.29% ( 0.02) | 10.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.38% ( 0.05) | 34.62% ( -0.05) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0.05) | 34.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( 0.05) | 70.85% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 17.08% |
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