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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
ML

Roma
1 - 2
AC Milan

Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
51.98%22.79%25.24%
Both teams to score 59.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13%40.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74%63.27%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18%15.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02%44.99%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51%29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5%65.5%
Score Analysis
    Roma 51.98%
    AC Milan 25.24%
    Draw 22.79%
RomaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 51.98%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-1 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 25.24%

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