SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Bulgaria |
55.05% ( -1.19) | 24.68% ( 0.46) | 20.27% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( -0.89) | 54.04% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( -0.75) | 75.47% ( 0.75) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -0.8) | 19.57% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.51% ( -1.33) | 51.49% ( 1.33) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.6% ( 0.28) | 41.39% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.09% ( 0.25) | 77.9% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Romania | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.04% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.17% Total : 20.27% |
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