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Nations League | League B
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Naţională
NI

Romania
1 - 1
Northern Ireland

Puscas (25')
Hagi (42'), Nistor (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whyte (86')
Magennis (13'), Evans (33')
Magennis (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
RomaniaDrawNorthern Ireland
50.91%25.78%23.31%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9%55.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64%76.36%
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07%38.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35%75.65%
Score Analysis
    Romania 50.91%
    Northern Ireland 23.31%
    Draw 25.77%
RomaniaDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 12.9%
2-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 23.31%


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