SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
64.18% ( 0.29) | 20.45% ( -0.16) | 15.36% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.49) | 44.32% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.47) | 66.7% ( -0.47) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( 0.24) | 13.09% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% ( 0.48) | 39.71% ( -0.48) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.14) | 41.53% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.97% ( 0.12) | 78.03% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 64.17% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 15.36% |
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