SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Baltika |
55.28% ( -0.15) | 24.52% ( 0.87) | 20.2% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -3.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( -4.23) | 53.52% ( 4.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( -3.69) | 75.04% ( 3.69) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( -1.64) | 19.28% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.99% ( -2.77) | 51.01% ( 2.78) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( -3.17) | 41.17% ( 3.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( -2.94) | 77.71% ( 2.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Baltika |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 1.44) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.67)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.41)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.41)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.91% Total : 55.27% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 1.24)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.49)Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.2% |
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