SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Orenburg |
51.14% ( -0.38) | 24.44% ( 0.03) | 24.41% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( 0.19) | 48.92% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( 0.17) | 71.01% ( -0.17) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( -0.08) | 19.12% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.24% ( -0.13) | 50.76% ( 0.13) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( 0.41) | 34.51% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( 0.44) | 71.22% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.41% |
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