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RL
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
ML

Rotherham
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

MacDonald (3')
Lindsay (64'), Smith (76')
Crooks (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saville (33'), Akpom (55')
Saville (72'), McNair (90'), Kebano (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
36.2%27.46%36.35%
Both teams to score 49.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82%56.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77%77.23%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29%29.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23%65.77%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38%29.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34%65.66%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 36.2%
    Middlesbrough 36.34%
    Draw 27.45%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.2%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.34%

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