Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.