Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
