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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
NL

Sampdoria
0 - 4
Napoli


Damsgaard (28'), Depaoli (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osimhen (10', 50'), Fabian (39'), Zielinski (59')
Manolas (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawNapoli
18.95%20.23%60.81%
Both teams to score 59.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.21%36.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.04%58.96%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23%32.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67%69.33%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26%11.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12%36.88%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 18.95%
    Napoli 60.81%
    Draw 20.23%
SampdoriaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 5.13%
1-0 @ 4.29%
2-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-1 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 18.95%
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 5.49%
0-0 @ 3.85%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.23%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 7.03%
0-3 @ 6.3%
2-3 @ 3.92%
1-4 @ 3.77%
0-4 @ 3.38%
2-4 @ 2.1%
1-5 @ 1.61%
0-5 @ 1.45%
2-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 60.81%

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