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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 24
Aug 9, 2021 at 12am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
LA

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Cardoso (11'), Lopez (28')
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yueill (39' og.)
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
40.86%24.12%35.02%
Both teams to score 60.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27%41.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87%64.13%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85%53.14%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46%23.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41%57.59%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 40.86%
    Los Angeles FC 35.02%
    Draw 24.12%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.75%
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 40.86%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.02%

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