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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 13, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Santa Fe
1 - 1
Gimnasia

Canete (43')
Machuca (45+1'), Galvan (81'), Acevedo (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barrios (73')
Mancilla (35')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Santa Fe and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Santa FeDrawGimnasia
38.04%27.74%34.23%
Both teams to score 48.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64%57.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82%78.18%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82%29.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88%65.12%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44%31.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05%67.95%
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 38.03%
    Gimnasia 34.23%
    Draw 27.74%
Santa FeDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.21%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.23%

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