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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 9, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
2 - 1
Lara

Vinicius (50'), Malthus (71')
Alison (33'), Vinicius (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anzola (52')
Anzola (39'), Gomez (80'), Castillo (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Santos and Deportivo Lara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Deportivo Lara had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Deportivo Lara win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawDeportivo Lara
55.79%23.74%20.48%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85%50.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89%72.11%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18%17.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.45%48.55%
Deportivo Lara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06%38.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.33%75.67%
Score Analysis
    Santos 55.78%
    Deportivo Lara 20.48%
    Draw 23.73%
SantosDrawDeportivo Lara
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 5.94%
3-1 @ 5.6%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.54%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.48%

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