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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
5 - 0
The Strongest

Marinho (1'), Pirani (26'), Vinicius (43'), Braga (59'), Malthus (83')
Fernandes (51')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Arrascaita (13'), Wayar (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawThe Strongest
52.7%25.11%22.19%
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26%52.74%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.82%39.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.11%75.89%
Score Analysis
    Santos 52.69%
    The Strongest 22.19%
    Draw 25.11%
SantosDrawThe Strongest
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 52.69%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 22.19%

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