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Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Aug 26, 2020 at 11pm UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
AP

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Luciano (65')
Vinicius (90+2'), Reinaldo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedrinho (56')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAthletico Paranaense
49.01%27.18%23.81%
Both teams to score 44.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.33%59.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01%79.99%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51%24.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05%58.95%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41%77.59%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 49.01%
    Athletico Paranaense 23.81%
    Draw 27.18%
Sao PauloDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.14%
2-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 49.01%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 23.81%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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