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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 11pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
2 - 2
River Plate

Perez (10' og.), Angileri (83' og.)
Diego (56'), Gomes (68'), Reinaldo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Borre (18'), Alvarez (80')
De La Cruz (33'), Carrascal (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawRiver Plate
37.42%26.43%36.15%
Both teams to score 52.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97%52.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24%73.76%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66%62.33%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27%27.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7%63.29%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 37.42%
    River Plate 36.15%
    Draw 26.43%
Sao PauloDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.15%


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