Sarmiento
0 - 3
Estudiantes

FT(HT: 0-0)

Apaolaza (52', 58'), Castro (54')
Apaolaza (25'), Noguera (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Estudiantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Estudiantes
28.41%	28.08%	43.5%

Both teams to score 45.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.88%

60.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.67%

80.32%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75%

37.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.97%

74.03%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56%

27.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08%

62.92%

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 28.41%

Estudiantes 43.5%

Draw 28.07%

Sarmiento	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.76% Total : 28.41%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.07%	0-1 @ 13.21% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-3 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.19% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.81% Total : 43.5%