Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
