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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
M

Farense
1 - 2
Moreirense

Pedro (90+3')
Oudrhiri (36'), Gauld (60'), Pedro (75'), Mansilla (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yan (28'), Martins (79' pen.)
Vitoria (7'), Soares (43'), Camara (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
SC FarenseDrawMoreirense
41.16%28.77%30.06%
Both teams to score 44.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.16%61.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.38%81.61%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45%29.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42%65.57%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11%36.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.32%73.68%
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 41.16%
    Moreirense 30.06%
    Draw 28.77%
SC FarenseDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 13.28%
2-0 @ 8.1%
2-1 @ 8.08%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.16%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.06%

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