Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%).
