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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
4 - 0
Desna

Tete (34' pen., 80'), Solomon (75', 77')
Matviyenko (40'), Dodo (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ogirya (30'), Imerekov (34')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Desna Chernihiv win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawDesna Chernihiv
55.34%23.06%21.6%
Both teams to score 53.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02%45.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71%68.29%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53%16.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82%46.17%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55%35.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79%72.21%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 55.34%
    Desna Chernihiv 21.6%
    Draw 23.06%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.5%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-0 @ 5.71%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.96%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.34%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.06%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.6%

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