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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Apr 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Donbass Arena
DK

Shakhtar
0 - 1
Dynamo Kiev


Matviyenko (25'), Bondar (27'), Maycon (41'), Krivtsov (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
de Pena (34' pen.)
Kedziora (31'), Buyalskyy (65')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawDynamo Kiev
50%23.35%26.65%
Both teams to score 58.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76%42.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.35%64.65%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98%17.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83%47.18%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86%29.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93%65.08%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 50.01%
    Dynamo Kiev 26.65%
    Draw 23.35%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawDynamo Kiev
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 50.01%
1-1 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-1 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 26.65%

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