Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
