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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3
Sep 25, 2020 at 1pm UK
Shanghai Stadium

Shanghai SIPG
1 - 0
Beijing Guoan

Hulk (44' pen.)
Lopes (20'), Yang (36'), Huan (79'), Li (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yang (43'), Li (43'), Zhongguo (45')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Port and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.

Result
Shanghai PortDrawBeijing Guoan
40.34%23.8%35.85%
Both teams to score 62.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96%40.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6%62.4%
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88%20.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62%52.37%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22%55.78%
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Port 40.34%
    Beijing Guoan 35.85%
    Draw 23.8%
Shanghai PortDrawBeijing Guoan
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 40.34%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-1 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.05%
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 35.85%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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