Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
