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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
P

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Portsmouth

Ogbeta (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Harness (25'), Marquis (36')
Marquis (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPortsmouth
30.9%26.91%42.18%
Both teams to score 50.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05%54.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77%76.23%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4%32.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86%69.14%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.67%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 30.9%
    Portsmouth 42.17%
    Draw 26.91%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.15%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.9%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.17%

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