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League One | Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2020 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
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Shrewsbury
3 - 3
Swindon

Pierre (11'), Millar (16'), Edwards (56')
Edwards (33'), Norburn (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Grant (43'), Hope (61'), Smith (90+3')
Hope (24'), Grant (27')
Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawSwindon Town
41.52%27.57%30.91%
Both teams to score 48.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.59%57.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78%78.22%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35%62.65%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12%33.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45%70.55%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 41.52%
    Swindon Town 30.91%
    Draw 27.56%
Shrewsbury TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.91%


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