Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Genk |
33.27% ( 0.08) | 23.61% ( -0.01) | 43.11% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.09% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( 0.05) | 39.72% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.93% ( 0.05) | 62.07% ( -0.05) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% ( 0.07) | 23.57% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% ( 0.1) | 57.63% ( -0.09) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( -0.01) | 18.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.84% ( -0.02) | 50.16% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Genk |
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 33.27% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 43.12% |
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