SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
31.02% ( -0.27) | 24.93% ( -0) | 44.05% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.1) | 46.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.09) | 68.96% ( 0.09) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( -0.23) | 28.34% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( -0.29) | 64.07% ( 0.28) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.08) | 21.23% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( 0.13) | 54.13% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.05% |
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