Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
