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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2021 at 6pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
B

Spartak Moscow
0 - 2
Benfica


Sobolev (33'), Ignatov (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (51'), Gilberto (74')
Vertonghen (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawBenfica
28.27%23.26%48.47%
Both teams to score 60.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42%40.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04%62.96%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88%27.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5%62.5%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02%16.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92%47.07%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 28.27%
    Benfica 48.47%
    Draw 23.25%
Spartak MoscowDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 6.95%
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.47%

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