Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
