SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Stranraer |
41.54% ( 0.02) | 26.37% ( -0.01) | 32.09% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( 0.02) | 52.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.02) | 74.11% ( -0.02) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.02) | 24.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 0.02) | 59.57% ( -0.03) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( 0) | 30.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( 0) | 66.71% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.09% |
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