SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Tamworth |
36.04% ( -0.02) | 25.96% ( 0) | 37.99% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.01) | 50.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.01) | 72.01% ( 0.01) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.02) | 26.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( -0.02) | 62.14% ( 0.02) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.01) | 25.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( 0.01) | 60.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.99% |
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