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Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2020 at 1am UK
 
C

Sport
3 - 2
Ceara

Elton (20', 34' pen.), Gomez (42')
Adryelson (47'), Rafael (53'), Elton (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Cleber (36'), Jacare (57')
Fabinho (33'), Xavier (49'), Sobral (55')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Ceara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Recife would win this match.

Result
Sport RecifeDrawCeara
49.4%27.62%22.97%
Both teams to score 42.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.3%61.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.49%81.51%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05%59.94%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.98%43.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.69%79.3%
Score Analysis
    Sport Recife 49.4%
    Ceara 22.97%
    Draw 27.61%
Sport RecifeDrawCeara
1-0 @ 14.94%
2-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 49.4%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.09%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.97%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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