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Segunda Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
1 - 0
Castellon

Durdevic (40')
Garcia (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lapena (68'), Molina (79'), Sene (85')
Molina (90+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 2-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawCastellon
37.7%30.78%31.52%
Both teams to score 39.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.32%67.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.28%85.72%
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31%34.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58%71.41%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97%39.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25%75.75%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 37.69%
    Castellon 31.51%
    Draw 30.77%
Sporting GijonDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 14.33%
2-0 @ 7.59%
2-1 @ 7.14%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.69%
0-0 @ 13.54%
1-1 @ 13.48%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.77%
0-1 @ 12.73%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 31.51%


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